Premier League Predictions Guide 2025/26

The 2025/26 Premier League season has delivered drama from the first whistle. Here's our complete guide to predicting — and betting on — England's top flight.

Season overview

The title race remains tight with four clubs still in contention heading into the final stretch. Home advantage has been unusually pronounced this season — home teams are winning at a rate 8% higher than the 5-year average.

Key trends to exploit

Home wins are underpriced. Bookmakers have been slow to update their models for this season's home dominance. Home favourites under 1.70 are returning 68% win rate vs an implied 59%.

BTTS is hitting at 74%. Both teams to score is landing more often than any other market this term. The top six sides are all scoring at 2.1+ goals per home game.

Over 2.5 in London derbies. Matches between Arsenal, Chelsea, Tottenham and West Ham are averaging 3.4 goals — well above the league average.

Teams to watch

Arsenal's home record at the Emirates makes them one of the safest home bets in the division. They've lost just twice at home all season, and both were against top-six opposition.

Our model's edge

PredictBet's AI has hit 75.3% on Premier League predictions this season — our highest rate of any domestic league. The model has been particularly strong on 1X2 home predictions (78.2%) and BTTS (73.1%).